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Emerging Market Economies and Financial Globalization

出版社
出版日期
2018/03/15
閱讀格式
EPUB
書籍分類
學科分類
ISBN
9781783086764

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In the past, foreign shocks arrived to national economies mainly through trade channels, and transmissions of such shocks took time to come into effect. However, after capital globalization, shocks spread to markets almost immediately. Despite the increasing macroeconomic dangers that the situation generated at emerging markets in the South, nobody at the North was ready to acknowledge the pro-cyclicality of the financial system and the inner weakness of “decontrolled” financial innovations because they were enjoying from the “great moderation.” Monetary policy was primarily centered on price stability objectives, without considering the mounting credit and asset price booms being generated by market liquidity and the problems generated by this glut. Mainstream economists, in turn, were not majorly attracted in integrating financial factors in their models. External pressures on emerging market economies (EMEs) were not eliminated after 2008, but even increased as international capital flows augmented in relevance thereafter. Initially economic authorities accurately responded to the challenge, but unconventional monetary policies in the US began to create important spillovers in EMEs. Furthermore, in contrast to a previous surge in liquidity, funds were now transmitted to EMEs throughout the bond market. The perspective of an increase in US interest rates by the FED is generating a reversal of expectations and a sudden flight to quality. Emerging countries’ currencies began to experience higher volatility levels, and depreciation movements against a newly strong US dollar are also increasingly observed. Consequently, there are increasing doubts that the “unexpected” favorable outcome observed in most EMEs at the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) would remain.
  • Cover
  • Half Title
  • Series Information
  • Title Page
  • Copyright Page
  • Contents
  • List of Illustrations
  • Preface
  • Acknowledgements
  • Chapter One  INTRODUCTION
    • International Capital Flows and Macroeconomic Dilemmas
    • Financial Deepening and the New Microeconomic Dilemmas
      • Financial Globalization and Capital Account Management: An Institutional View
    • A Comparative Analysis
      • Latin America: Argentina and Brazil
      • Asia: China, South Korea and India
    • A Final Message and a Caveat
  • PART 1  The Financial Globalization Journey: The General Framework
    • Chapter Two  INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL FLOWS AND MACROECONOMIC DILEMMAS
      • Introduction
      • EMEs’ Exchange Rate Policy in an Open Macro Framework
      • From Fears to Market Intervention
      • Domestic Monetary Policy and ER Intervention: Sterilization
      • Capital Flows, Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle
    • Chapter Three  UNFETTERED FINANCE AND THE PERSISTENCE OF INSTABILITY
      • From Financial Repression to Global and Deregulated Markets
      • Financial Globalization and the Rise of Global Banks
      • Global Banks’ Funding Practices and Legal Status
      • Derivatives, OTC and Regulation: ET Is Back
      • The Financial Trilemma: From Deregulation to Financial Re-regulation
      • International Cooperation in a Historical Perspective
    • Chapter Four  FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION, INSTITUTIONS AND GROWTH
      • Introduction
      • Capital Controls’ Rationality
      • The Global Commons: Multilateral and Bilateral Perspectives
      • Banking Internationalization and Financial Service Deregulation under WTO–GATS
      • The Bilateral Push towards Financial Deregulation
      • The OTC Market and the US Push for ET Regulation
      • Exchange Rate Policies under (Renewed) Scrutiny
      • The Globalization Paradox and the Political Economy Perspective
  • PART 2  A Comparative Analysis
    • Chapter Five  ARGENTINA
      • Introduction to Stop-Go Macroeconomics
      • Macroeconomics or Makro: From Twin Surplus to Populism
      • Back in Populism
      • Financial Markets and the Financial Trilemma
      • ‘Living La Vida Loca’: Argentina’s Institutional Path
      • Argentina and Dani Rodrik’s Political Trilemma
    • Chapter Six  BRAZIL
      • Macro at the Corners: Economic Policy in Stormy Waters
      • Playing at the Corners: How Sustainable Can a Fixed ER Scheme Be?
      • The End of an Affair: Inflation Targeting as a New Anchor
      • Brazil, the GFC and Beyond: A New Caiphirina Moment?
      • The Financial System and the Trilemma: New Actors, Renewed Constraints
      • Brazilian Capital Markets: A Brief Guide
      • The GFC and the Financial Market
      • Financial Trilemma in Brazil
      • Brazil: No Longer an Institutional Outsider?
    • Chapter Seven  CHINA
      • From Mao to the GFC: The Comrades’ Macro
      • China, the Global Financial Crisis and RMB Internationalization
      • Chinese Financial Markets: A Brief History of the Chinese Banking Industry
      • Managing the Financial Trilemma
      • Institutional Development: Third World Leader Transformed into a Globalizer Champion
      • Institutions and China’s Commitments
    • Chapter Eight  INDIA
      • Macroeconomics in an Open and Integrated World: Avoiding the Extremes
      • Avoiding the Corners: India’s Cautious Insertion into Global Financial Markets
      • Sailing against the Wind: India’s Performance after the GFC
      • Financial Markets: Avoiding Financial Instability
      • Financial Markets and Actors
      • India and the Financial Trilemma
      • Institutions
    • Chapter Nine  SOUTH KOREA
      • Macroeconomics from Korea Inc to Market Liberalization
      • The 1997 Crisis and the Neo-liberal Response
      • The GFC and Korea: Economic Turmoil and Macro-Prudential Policies
      • Financial Market Evolution and the Financial Trilemma
      • Korean Financial Sector, Foreign Banks and the Financial Trilemma
      • Korea’s Institutionalist Path
  • PART 3  Final Remarks on Financial Globalization and Local Insertion
    • Chapter Ten  CONCLUSIONS
      • Economic Policy in a World of Pyramids and Triangles
      • What Is the Comparative Setting Telling Us?
  • A Short Afterword
    • References
  • Index

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